Mortgage

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Banking Regulation

The Home Loan Banks Get Paid First When a Member Bank Fails

The Federal Home Loan Bank System has never taken a credit loss in 94 years. That record reflects where it stands in the repayment line, not how well it underwrites, and the losses did not disappear.

By Vasil V.·8 min read
Real Estate

Why Your Condo Dues Are Rising, and Why the Cost Was Always There

The median condo fee is up 29% since 2019, and special assessments are hitting some owners for over $100,000. The rising dues are not a new cost. They're a decades-old cost, deferred through underfunded reserves, finally coming due after the Surfside collapse forced a reckoning.

By Vasil V.·9 min read
Foreclosure

An HOA Can Take Your Home Over a Few Hundred Dollars. The Debt That Does It Is Mostly the Cost of Collecting It.

HOA foreclosure filings are up nearly 40% in two years. The disproportion between a trivial trigger debt and a home-destroying consequence isn't an accident, it's built into a fee-collection machinery that rewards the lawyers who escalate it.

By Vasil V.·9 min read
Mortgage Technology

The Fear Is That AI Disrupts Financial-Data Giants. ICE's Bet Is That AI Commoditizes the Model, Not Its Moat.

ICE Mortgage Technology returned to profitability and argued its data and workflow, not its models, are what AI cannot replicate. The bet is stronger in regulated mortgage than in most industries, but it is still a bet.

By Vasil V.·8 min read
Securitization

The Second-Lien Boom Isn't Just About Locked-In Homeowners. It's About Who Ends Up Holding the Risk.

Second-lien and HELOC securitization is on pace for $41 billion in 2026, the most since the financial crisis. The record issuance isn't just a symptom of demand, it's the engine that distributes subordinate mortgage risk to bond investors.

By Vasil V.·8 min read
Loss Mitigation

Fannie and Freddie Are Pausing Fewer Payments and Permanently Rewriting More Loans. The Tool They Choose Is a Diagnosis.

FHFA data shows GSE loan modifications rising while forbearance and payment deferrals fall, just ahead of a policy shift to shorter forbearance windows. The tool mix is itself a diagnosis of whether borrower distress is temporary or permanent.

By Vasil V.·9 min read
Home Equity

Second Mortgages Are Booming at the Fastest Pace Since 2008. This Time the Cause Is the Opposite of Recklessness.

The volume echoes the financial crisis. The behavior underneath it, homeowners protecting a cheap first mortgage, is close to the opposite.

By Vasil V.·10 min read
Mortgage Rates

Most Ways to Get a Sub-6% Mortgage Don't Lower Your Cost. They Move It.

Discount points, buydowns, and ARMs mostly relocate cost rather than reduce it. Only lender competition, assumption, and shorter terms are genuinely cheaper.

By Vasil V.·9 min read
Mortgage Rates

The Borrowers Most Likely to Overpay for a Mortgage Are the Ones With the Best Credit

An analysis of 3.2 million originations found 87% of borrowers pay more than they had to, and the worst offenders are the ones with the strongest profiles.

By Vasil V.·8 min read
Regulation

The CFPB Is Reconsidering the Mortgage Disclosure Rules. The Real Question Is Bright Lines vs. Judgment Calls.

A new request for information asks whether TRID's waiting periods and cost tolerances should be replaced with a "materiality" standard.

By Vasil V.·9 min read
Banking Regulation

The New Bank Capital Rules Are a Bid to Take Mortgage Lending Back From Nonbanks

Regulators scrapped the 2023 Basel endgame and proposed cutting bank capital requirements by roughly 8.6%, aimed at pulling mortgage lending back from nonbanks.

By Vasil V.·8 min read
Foreclosure

Foreclosures Are "Returning to Normal." That Average Is Hiding a Real Crisis Underneath.

Filings jumped 20%, and that's just normalization on average. FHA delinquencies hit 11.52%, the highest since 2012.

By Vasil V.·7 min read
Mortgage Rates

Mortgage Rates Just Hit a New High. The Danger Isn't a Spike, It's a Quarter Point.

A drift to 6.4% sounds trivial. Near the qualification line, a quarter point moves millions of households in or out.

By Vasil V.·6 min read
Industry News

Why Mortgage Moguls Keep Buying Sports Teams. The Detroit Soccer Deal Explains It.

Jay Farner's Detroit City FC investment is a real-estate deal, a Rocket-UWM rivalry move, and a pattern, wearing a jersey.

By Vasil V.·6 min read
Housing Market

Housing Starts "Surged" 19% in June. Almost None of It Was the Housing Most People Buy.

Strip out multifamily and single-family building fell for a third straight month, with permits at cycle lows.

By Vasil V.·6 min read
M&A

A Mortgage CEO Just Explained Why the Industry Is Consolidating. It's Not a Growth Story.

Union Home's CEO calls it plainly: too many lenders chasing too few loans, at margins so thin the weak have to sell.

By Vasil V.·7 min read
Regulation

FHFA Wants to Stop Blacklisting Mortgage Firms Over "Reputational Harm." Here's Why That Cuts Both Ways.

The agency that can end a mortgage company overnight is narrowing the grounds for doing it. That helps firms, but it collides with anti-money-laundering rules.

By Vasil V.·7 min read
Housing Market

The Summer Housing Market Is "Battle-Tested." Look at Who's Still Standing.

June rate-locks jumped 15%, and 81% were purchases. But the growth is migrating toward jumbo loans and high-cost markets.

By Vasil V.·6 min read
Mortgage Rates

Fannie Mae Just Told the Mortgage Industry to Stop Waiting for Rate Cuts

6.3% through 2027, no Fed cut, and a real chance of a hike first. The escape hatch buyers were waiting for just closed.

By Vasil V.·7 min read
Housing Market

Gen Z Is Buying Homes at a Record Rate. Look at How They're Paying for Them.

Gen Z hit a record 20% of purchase mortgages, relying on FHA loans, family cash, and boomer parents draining retirement accounts.

By Vasil V.·7 min read
Mortgage Lending

Big Banks' Mortgage Volume Jumped 30% in Q2. The One Margin Number We Can See Fell Off a Cliff.

Chase's gain-on-sale margin, the only one still disclosed, dropped 45 basis points even as volume surged.

By Vasil V.·8 min read
Real Estate

Douglas Elliman Says It's Becoming a Tech Company. Read the Balance Sheet First.

The luxury brokerage's stock is down 17% this year and it just posted a $16 million quarterly loss.

By Vasil V.·8 min read
Housing Market

Home Prices Are Still Rising in 2026. Adjusted for Inflation, They're Falling.

Forecasters just cut 2026 home price growth to around 1%, while inflation runs above 3%. Real housing wealth is falling for the first time in years.

By Vasil V.·7 min read
Housing Market

Mid-Atlantic Home Sales Are Rising in 2026. The Buyers Who Can Afford Them Are Vanishing.

Sales climbed 7.3% in June, but the same report shows moderate-income and first-time buyers are increasingly shut out.

By Vasil V.·7 min read